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Lever Long
“Give me a lever
long enough and a fulcrum on which to place it, and I shall move
the world” Archimedes Surviving the Twenty-first
Century |
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This domain name could be yours, contact (You must include the words “From Web” in the subject, to pass our spam-filters):
Mankind
may well have had its golden years, and the future one of climate change, fuel
and food shortages.
Current world population (estimated): .
This
web site is intended to share ideas about things we can all do to survive the
Twenty-first Century.
Click here for solar panel
ideas Click here for wind turbine ideas
Share your ideas with others: have your credited ideas
published free on this web site, contact (You must include the words “From Web”
in the subject, to pass our spam-filters)
Have a look at “The Story of Stuff” web site – it’ll have
you thinking a little more about what we do and where we are going: http://www.storyofstuff.com/
For information about the Transition Town initiative go
to http://www.transitiontowns.org/
Solar Panels come in two main
types: Photovoltaic (solar energy collected as an electric current, usually
stored in a battery) and Solar-thermal (solar energy collected as heat, usually
stored in water).
Solar-Thermal: All-to-often manufactures of solar panels
will quote the peak output for their panels and shy clear of stating the
average output. Under the most favourable conditions each square metre of panel
will collect nearly 1000 watts of power when the panel is directly pointing
towards the sun in a completely clear sky. This peak value of power should not
be confused with the average energy that each square metre of panel can
generate: in the UK the average power (24-hours, 7-days, 365-days per year
average) from the sun is only around 100 Watts per square metre of panel, this
is equal to 2.4kWh of energy per day. During the summer months the daily
average is higher than the winter months: around 4.5kWh per day in June
compared with 0.5kWh per day in January, but over the year the overall average
is around 2.4kWh per day for each square metre of solar panel in the UK. But
don’t be too depressed, because 2.4kWh per day is equal to nearly £0.30 (2008
prices) worth of electricity equivalent energy per day, every day. And a two
square metre solar panel will produce nearly £0.60 worth of electricity
equivalent energy per day – that’s over £200 per year, and therefore worth
looking seriously at. You can check
your own geographical location for its average isolation (how much sun power
there is per square metre) by going to this NASA web site.
When calculating the savings that can be made by
installing a solar panel, remember that electricity is around twice the price
of gas or oil: at 2008 prices 1kWh of electricity costs approximately £0.12, whilst
1kWh of gas costs around £0.06. The effect of this difference is to double the
payback time of installing a solar panel: each square metre of solar panel will
collect around £100 worth of equivalent electric energy, but only around £50
worth of gas equivalent energy.
Beware of the cost of installing solar panels: if a two
square metre panel costs, say, £2000 (and that is a low-end price for 2008) to
install then it will take between 10 and 20-years to recover the costs! With
this in mind I set about a home-build solar panel with material costs of around
£400. However if building your own is not your thing, and you decide to opt for
a commercial solar-thermal system, then remember the minimum payback time (at
2008 prices) is calculated by multiplying the area of the panel in square
metres by 100, and dividing the result into the total price of the solar panel.
For example if a 2.5 square metre solar panel is on offer at £3450 fitted, then
the minimum payback time will be: 100 times 2.5 = 250, and this is divided into
the price; £3450 divided by 250 = 13.8-years minimum time to payback your
investment (and if you use gas or oil, it could take as long as 28-years!).
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For the handyman (or woman) to make |
Photovoltaic: When comparing the cost of installing a
solar-thermal panel with that of a photovoltaic panel, it is immediately
apparent that the technology of photovoltaic solar power harvesting has still a
long way to go. Semiconductor development is ongoing, and great strides have
been made in improving the conversion efficiency and simplifying production to
bring down the cost of utilising photovoltaic technology.
A good solar-cell (the basic semiconductor unit that
photovoltaic systems use) will convert more than 30% of the sunlight that falls
upon it and cost around £1 per square centimetre (very expensive, and mainly
used to power spacecraft); but even much cheaper solar-cells giving efficiency
of around 10% and costing around £0.07 per square centimetre is never going to
be as cost effective as solar-thermal. A quick calculation would show that one
square metre of 10% efficient photovoltaic solar panel would cost around £700
but would only ever be able to harvest 10% of the solar energy falling on it:
that’s a mere 10 watts; it would take over 60-years to recover the cost!
The BIG advantage of photovoltaic is that it does produce
electricity directly from the sun, unlike solar-thermal that is dependant upon
an external electricity supply. A good combination would be a small
photovoltaic and a much larger solar-thermal: the photovoltaic could be used to
power the water pump that drives the solar-thermal panel. However, much beyond
this conjugation photovoltaic has still a very long way to go before it is even
remotely viable for use in a domestic solar panel.
Unlike solar, calculating the power that can be harvested
from the wind is far from easy. Whereas the collecting capacity of a solar
panel is simply proportional to its area (double the area doubles the power),
wind is a much more involved calculation. If you compare two wind turbines one
of which has twice the blade radius of the other, then for the same wind speed
the larger turbine will produce 4-times the power of the smaller turbine: there
is a square-law relationship that applies to wind turbines of differing blade size.
And as for wind speed: for any particular turbine if you double the wind speed
you get 8-times the power: there is a cube-law relationship that applies to a
wind turbine exposed to various wind speeds.
A cheap end wind turbine, one that you have to install
yourself, will have something like a 1 metre diameter turbine and cost around
£500 (2008 prices). The output power of the turbine will be around 100 watts at
a wind speed of 19 to 24 mile per hour (force-5 on the Beaufort Scale – about
the level where small trees will sway in the wind). And, as with calculating
the average insolation for solar panels, it is the average wind speed that
should be taken into account when working-out the payback time for investing in
a wind turbine. The annual average wind speed for a “windy” part of the UK is
only around 16 mph, and from the cube-law relationship you can calculate that
the average power from the turbine will be only around 41 watts. This power
equates to around 0.98kWh of energy per day; less than £0.12 of electricity
equivalent per day at 2008 prices. Therefore the payback time for just the
material cost of the turbine (installation will cost possibly more than the
turbine!) will be around 12-years at electricity prices, or 24-years at gas
equivalent prices – and that’s just for the turbine, you can probably double
(or even treble) the payback time if you include the cost for installing the
turbine!
It makes absolutely no sense to install a small wind
turbine: it only ever becomes a cost effective green-energy source when the
turbines are on an industrial scale; the square-law relationship favours big
wind turbines.